August 2, 2004  

Phil Plantier's Top 5 Listach Candidates
(in alphabetical order)
Hank Blalock, TIJ
3B
.313 BA, .866 OPS, 77.5 RC, 29 2B, 19 HR, 60 R, 65 RBI
Eric DuBose, NWK
SP
12-5, .706 W%, 4.37 ERA,
12.8 R/9, .538 QS%
Marcus Giles, NWK

2B
.327 BA, .924 OPS, 108.8 RC, 44 2B, 21 HR, 12 SB, 94 R, 85 RBI
Francisco Rodriguez, PHI

RP
3-4, 3 saves, 7 holds, 2.85 ERA, 9.4 R/9, .161 IR%
Rafael Soriano, HON

RP
7-1, 4 saves, 9 holds, 2.29 ERA, 7.7 R/9, 106 K in 78.2 IP

The DMBL's coveted Rookie of the Year Award is named after Pat Listach, who hit .315 with 212 hits as a rookie with the Columbia Crusaders in 1993. But despite being named after a batter, just two position players have won the award in its five-year existence: Phoenix's Nomar Garciaparra in 1998, and Vancouver's Homer Bush in 2000. The award went to Arkansas RP John Rocker in 1999 and has gone to starters for three straight years: Carolina's Barry Zito in 2001, Hoboken's Joel Pineiro in 2002 and Phoenix's John Lackey last year.

What is a rookie? By league rule, a rookie is a player in his first year of DMBL eligibility (for pitchers, that's 10 starts for a starting pitcher, or 30 appearances, with at least 10 in relief, for relief pitchers). That can produce some unusual results. For example, 35-year-old middle reliever Brian Shouse has been in the majors since 1993, but he's a DMBL rookie this season because 2003 was the first in which he was eligible for an active roster. By the same token, Rafael Soriano is a rookie -- even though the Sharks drafted him last year. Honolulu protected the young reliever after drafting him in the 9th round (#120 overall) of the 2003 draft, but this is his first season where he's eligible for DMBL play. On the other hand, Hoboken starter Darrell May is not a rookie, even though he's never pitched in the DMBL before this season. May was eligible for DMBL play last year, but spent the year with the Cutters' farm team.

There are a total of 120 rookies this season, 64 pitchers and 56 batters. To read more about this year's freshman class, check out our previous editions.

Batters

Marcus GilesOne rookie leads the freshman class in just about every offensive category: Newark's Marcus Giles. The diminutive 25-year-old second baseman, taken by Newark with the 264th pick of the 2003 draft, paid his dues at Triple-A last season and then exploded onto the DMBL this season. Brian's little brother leads all rookies in batting average (.327), on-base percentage (.389), slugging percentage (.535), OPS (.924), runs created (108.8), runs created per 27 outs (7.8), hits (171), doubles (44), extra base hits (66), runs (94), RBIs (85), walks (48), total bases (280), total average (.940), secondary average (.319) and stolen base percentage (.857); he also ranks second in home runs (23) and stolen bases (12). Among all DMBL batters, Giles is first in doubles, third in hits and stolen base percentage, fourth in batting average, sixth in runs created, seventh in extra base hits and total bases, tied for eighth in runs and stolen bases, and ninth in runs created per 27 outs and total average. Add to those offensive numbers the fact that he has the league's second-highest fielding percentage at second base (.988) and was voted into the starting lineup for Hanover in this year's All-Star Game and you have the makings not just of a Listach winner, but an MVP candidate.

So, now let's just give the ROY to Giles and... not so fast! With about 20 percent of the season still ahead of us, a number of players still have a chance to pass Giles in several categories, especially with Marcus on the shelf until mid-August after getting suspended by the league in an unfortunate road rage incident. Another rookie voted onto this year's All-Star team, Tijuana 3B Hank Blalock, could have the best shot of overtaking Giles down the home stretch. Blalock, 23, was drafted in the sixth round (#76) overall -- in 2002. Tijuana kept him stashed away on their farm team for two seasons before finally unleashing him on the DMBL this year. Blalock ranks second, behind only Giles, in several offensive categories: batting average (.313), hits (143), runs created (77.5), OPS (.866), secondary average (.271), total bases (231) and extra base hits (49). He also is tied for second in RBIs (65) and ranks third in doubles (29), homers (19) and OBP (.360); fourth in walks (34); and is tied for fourth in runs (60).

Listach was a shortstop, and he would be pleased to see this year's freshman class has produced a trio of exceptional hitters at his position. Carolina's Angel Berroa ranks second among rookies in HBP (15); third in stolen bases (11), triples (6) and extra base hits (37); Alex Cintronand is tied for fourth in doubles (23). Not bad if you can overlook his .246 BA, .667 OPS in 513 PA... Vancouver's Alex Cintron ranks second in runs (68); is tied for second in RBIs (65); is third in batting average (.294), OPS (.768), runs created (68.4) and total bases (209); tied for third in hits (141); and tied for fourth in home runs (15). And Westwood's Jose Reyes, the league's youngest rookie at 21, leads the class in triples (8) and singles (106), and ranks third in runs (65); tied for third in hits (141); is fourth in runs created (63.7), total bases (200) and stolen bases (10); and ranks fifth in batting average (.282).

The Phoenix farm system has a long history of churning out young speed demons, from Roger Cedeno to Rafael Furcal to Ichiro Suzuki to Jason Tyner, who all broke into double-digits in steals as Dragon rookies. Add to that list Scott Podsednik, their second-round pick (#18 overall), who leads all rookies with 17 steals this season. Podsednik also is second in OBP (.370) and walks (45); fourth in batting average (.291) and is tied for fourth in runs scored (60).

Put me in, coach! These rookies have made the msot of their limited playing time so far this season, but likely won't have enough plate appearances to make an impression on the voters by the end of the season. Newark's Hideki Matsui, despite having just 315 plate appearances so far, is second among rookies with 32 doubles, and ranks fifth in runs created (52.2) and RBIs (56), and is hitting .322 with an .860 OPS. Teammate Jeff DaVanon gets even less playing time (232 PA), despite hitting an impressive .340 (.915 OPS). DaVanon also ranks fifth among rookies in stolen bases (7)... Hoboken's Miguel Cabrera is the league's second-youngest rookie -- just two months older than Reyes -- and appears to have a long and lucrative DMBL career ahead of him. The 21-year-old third baseman/outfielder is hitting .305 (.915 OPS), and despite having just 287 plate appearances ranks fourth among rookies in triples (4)... Hillsborough's Marlon Byrd, making his debut after being drafted in the 9th round (#123 overall) of last year's draft, is being broken in slowly, hitting .285 (.714 OPS) with 11 2B, 3 3B and 3 HR in 269 PA... Arkansas's Sean Burroughs (.278, .739 OPS, 17 2B, 44 RBI in 403 PA) and Adam Everett (.292, .733 OPS, 11 2B, 34 R in 235 PA) are playing key part-time roles for the Golden Falcons, as is Columbia's Rocco Baldelli (.276, .747 OPS, 2 3B, 27 R in 185 PA).

Bo HartDisappointments: These highly touted rookies have found it tough going in their first DMBL campaigns. Carolina's Bo Hart, taken in the first round (#10), has the lowest OPS of any qualifying rookie (.614). He's also hitting just .235 and ranks fourth with 93 Ks. But he does have 7 triples, second-most among rookies... Harrison's Mark Teixeria is having an all-or-nothing rookie campaign. While he does lead rookies in home runs (23) and is tied for second in RBIs (65), he's also leads all rookies in lowest batting average (.222) and strikeouts (109), with a .701 OPS in 463 PA... Hoboken's Morgan Ensberg, taken with the fifth pick of this year's draft, is having similar problems: He's tied for fourth with 15 HRs despite having the second-worst batting average (.227) and OPS (.644) of any rookie, and ranks third with 95 Ks. But he does find other ways to contribute, ranking third in walks (44)... Arkansas's first-round pick (#14 overall), Jason Phillips, was expected to fill the shoes of long-time Golden Falcon Dan Wilson as the team's starting catcher. So far he's done exactly that, ranking as one of the league's top defensive catchers while contributing almost nothing on offense (.238 BA, .647 OPS in 358 PA). But you can't fault Phillips for not being a team player: He leads all rookies, and ranks second in the DMBL, with 18 HBP... Carolina's Jody Gerut is only hitting .234 (.704 OPS) in 355 PA; nevertheless, opposing pitchers are treating him with the respect due a second-round pick (#25 overall), as he leads all rookies with six intentional passes.

Other notable rookies: Philly's Matt LeCroy (.265, .722 OPS, 23 2B, 56 RBI in 409 PA) joined Giles and Blalock at the All-Star Game... Larry Bigbie couldn't break into Stanhope's loaded outfield, but after being traded to Hoboken has proved to be a solid, if inconsistent, player. Overall this season, Bigbie is hitting .292 (.726 OPS) with 11 2B, 5 HR and 37 RBI in 356 PA... Vancouver released Aaron Guiel despite a promising start to his career (.273, .804 OPS, 10 HR, 37 RBI in 255 PA).

Starters

Eric DuBoseMost pitching coaches hate to bring a kid up from the minors and throw him right into the starting rotation, and few teams can be competitive with more than one rookie starting every fifth day. But somehow, the team with the best record in baseball is getting it done with three freshmen taking a regular turn. And Eric DuBose, drafted in the 3rd round (#41) this year, stands head and shoulders above all other rookie starters this season. He leads all rookie starters in baserunners per 9 innings (12.8), starts (26), winning percentage (.706), quality starts (14), quality start percentage (.538) and innings (167.0), is tied for the rookie lead in wins (12), and ranks second in ERA (4.37). Among all DMBL starters, DuBose is tied for 7th in wins, tied for 8th in winning percentage and tied for 3rd in starts. He's also tied for the league lead with two Pitcher of the Week Awards this season.

Another rookie in Newark's rotation could provide DuBose's stiffest competition. Scot Shields, the first player drafted by Newark this season (2nd round, #27 overall), leads rookie starters in K:BB ratio (2.76); is second in winning percentage (.600), BR/9 (13.5), strikeouts (116), innings (157.0), K/9 (6.6) and BB/9 (2.4); tied for second in starts (24); and is third in wins (9), ERA (4.82), quality starts (11) and quality start percentage (.458).

The third rookie in Newark's starting rotation, Jerome Williams, lasted just 3.1 innings into his first start with the Sugar Bears after being acquired a day before the trading deadline from Harrison. The Rats took Williams in the first round of this year's draft (#12 overall), but his stock dropped after he started getting hit hard the second time around the league (10-4, 4.11 ERA, 1.22 WHIP in his first 14 starts; 2-5, 8.77 ERA, 2.23 WHIP in his next nine), and were happy to give him up for an 8th rounder. Despite his recent struggles, Williams' hot start leaves him with some impressive numbers: He leads all rookies in complete games (4) and is tied for the lead in wins (12). He's also tied for second in starts (24) and ranks third in fewest H/9 (9.6). But for Williams to figure in the Listach balloting, he'd have to finish the season even stronger than he started it.

Brandon WebbThe only other rookie starter who appears on the leaderboard anywhere near as often as DuBose or Shields is Phoenix's Brandon Webb, the second pick in this year's draft. Webb leads all rookie starters in ERA (3.72), fewest H/9 (8.4) and fewest HR/9 (0.8), and is second in quality start percentage (.522). He also ranks third in R/9 (13.5), innings pitched (139.2) and K/9 (6.3). Webb is third among rookies in winning percentage (.583), which is 141 points better than his team's winning percentage (.442), the top "performance gap" among rookie starters. By contrast, DuBose's rookie-leading .706 winning percentage is only 88 points better than Newark's overall record (.618). Webb has slowed down considerably after joining Shields and Williams at the All-Star Game, however; after starting the year at 7-3, Webb's had no wins -- two losses and eight no-decisions -- in his next 10 starts. Another knock against Webb is his 4.5 BB/9, which is the second-worst of any rookie with at least 10 starts.

Busts: It's not easy to be a starting pitcher in the DMBL, especially if you've never tried it before! But while you can't expect too much of a rookie starter, surely better things were expected of the first player taken in this year's draft, Tijuana's Dontrelle Willis. The 21-year-old lefty is 3-12 with a 5.22 ERA and 15.1 R/9 in 131.0 IP, ranking him as one of the worst starters in baseball. Willis has the stuff to be a future ace, but right now he's just trying to survive... Vancouver's Rich Harden, taken in the 2nd round (#22), is the only other rookie starter who doesn't have a losing record -- he's 6-6. But he still qualifies as a bust after posting a 6.03 ERA, 17.7 R/9 in 106.0 IP this season... Phoenix's Horacio Ramirez, a third-round pick (#32), is 4-14 with a 6.67 ERA and 16.2 R/9 in 139.0 IP. His 14 losses are tied for third-most in the league, and his K:BB ratio has to be measured in decimals: He's walked 57 and struck out just 55 this season... Hoboken's Jae Weong Seo, a fourth-round pick (#52), is 6-11 with a 5.35 ERA and 13.9 R/9 in 119.1 IP.

Limited duty: These rookies don't have enough starts to qualify for serious consideration, not that their numbers warrant it: Hoboken's Kurt Ainsworth (3-3, 7.05 ERA, 16.1 R/9 in 37.0 IP), Westwood's Jason Davis (1-1, 4.50 ERA, 14.8 R/9 in 14.0 IP), Hillsborough's Jeriome Robertson (0-2, 12.79 ERA, 21.8 R/9 in 19.0 IP), Tijuana's Claudio Vargas (1-0, 6.00 ERA, 13.5 R/9 in 6.0 IP) and Carolina's Jake Westbrook (2-0, 4.42 ER, 11.3 R/9 in 18.1 IP).

Relief Pitchers

Earl Weaver preached that the best place to break in a rookie was through the bullpen, which is the route being taken by 15 of the 23 rookie pitchers who have been in 10 or more games this season. And just one of those relievers has been given the high-pressure job of closing games. Without a lot of wins or saves on the resume, you might think it would be impossible for someone pitching in the relative anonymity of middle relief to win the John Rockeraward -- but then, that was the role assigned to John Rocker in 1999 when he became the first (and, to date, the only) reliever to win the award. By the way, how the heck did that happen? Rocker was a rather ordinary 7-3 with 4 saves and a 3.06 ERA, 1.40 WHIP. He only allowed 47 hits and struck out 84 in 79.1 innings, but he also gave up 64 walks! Rocker shockingly beat out Toledo SP Rolando Arrojo, who went 16-6 with a 3.28 ERA, 1.12 WHIP (156 K, 65 BB) in 236.1 IP. In fact, Rocker wasn't even the best rookie reliever that season, as Phoenix's Kerry Ligtenberg (5 wins, 23 saves, 2.82 ERA, 1.17 WHIP in 73.1 IP) had clearly superior numbers. Other rookies who had solid numbers that season were Newark SS Mike Caruso (.280, 25 2B, 66 RBI, 18 SB); Hawaii 1B Todd Helton (.250, .762 OPS, 21 HR, 90 RBI in 576 AB); Hillsborough OF Ben Grieve (.283, .802 OPS, 17 HR, 74 R in 515 AB); and Jerusalem SP Kerry Wood (14-6, 4.48 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 271 K in 191 IP). 

There certainly wouldn't be much controversy this season if the award went to Honolulu's Rafael Soriano. The 23-year-old setup man was drafted by Honolulu last year in the 9th round (#120) and stashed away in their farm system before making his debut this season. Soriano is 7-1 with 4 saves and 9 holds this season, and his peripheral numbers are eye-popping: 2.29 ERA, 7.7 BR/9, 12.1 K/9, and a 5.9 K:BB ratio! Soriano ranks first among rookie relievers in those four categories, as well as in strikeouts (106), and is second in saves and relief points (18), third in wins, and tied for third in holds.

Francisco RodriguezRanking right behind Soriano in most categories is 21-year-old fireballer Francisco Rodriguez, who joined Soriano as the only rookie relievers to make the All-Star Game this season. The Endzone Animals drafted "K-Rod" with a 2nd round pick (#20) and he's lived up to the hype, going 3-4 with 3 saves and 7 holds in 45 appearances. Rodriguez leads rookie relievers in H/9 (4.7), is second in R/9 (9.2) and K/9 (10.8), and is third in ERA (2.85). And he leads all rookies in what may be the most important facet of a reliever's job: Stranding inherited runners. Rodriguez has allowed just 5 out of 31 inherited runners to score (.161 IR%), good enough to rank seventh among all relievers in baseball. However, while he does have incredible stuff, as evidenced by his 87 Ks and 38 H in 72.2 IP, he also has little control of it at this stage in his career, having allowed 4.7 BB/9. And when it comes in fast, it goes out just as quick: 11 of Rodriguez's 38 hits allowed have been home runs, which ties him for second-worst among relievers in HR/9 (1.4).

Westwood has two rookies in their 'pen having solid seasons, though neither is on the same level as Soriano or Rodriguez. Oscar Villarreal, a third-round pick (#35), is 4-1 with 2 saves and 8 holds for the Ducks, with a 3.41 ERA, 11.6 R/9 and .174 IR% in 74.0 IP; lefty Jason Kershner, a sixth-round pick (#77), leads all rookies with 12 holds, ranks second in innings (106.2) and fourth in appearances (60). He ranks dead last in K/9 (3.5), and he's allowed too many baserunners (13.0 R/9), but he's somehow found a way to keep those runners from scoring (3.29 ERA, .283 IR%)... Another southpaw, Philly's Ron Mahay, is making his long-awaited DMBL debut at the age of 32. Mahay, drafted in the 9th round (#118), is one of this year's biggest rookie bargains, posting a 3.19 ERA, 9.6 R/9 and .227 IR% in 90.1 IP... Compare that to the performance of the first rookie reliever drafted this year, Tijuana's Jose Valverde. Drafted 103 players before Mahay's name came up, Valverde has been solid but unremarkable, going 6-4 with 5 holds (5 blown saves), with a 3.84 ERA, 11.4 R/9 and .304 IR%.

The only true closer among this year's freshman class is Hillsborough's Luis Ayala, but he's unlikely to garner much attention from Listach voters. While the fifth-round pick (#65) leads the rookie field in saves (21) and relief points (28), he also leads in losses (10) and blown saves (10). His .323 BS% is the worst of any closer. Ayala's 4.30 ERA, 14.5 R/9 and .412 IR% in 60.2 IP are also unimpressive.

Other notable relievers: Arkansas's Brad Lidge, a 7th-round pick (#98), is having a solid but unspectacular year; he's a perfect 5-0 with 3 saves and 1 hold, but he has also blown 3 saves; he ranks seconnd in ERA (2.42) and third in K/9 (10.1), but he also has allowed 12.8 R/9, thanks to a very generous 27 BB in 48.1 IP (5.0 BB/9)... Phoenix has three rookie relievers in their 'pen, but Rafael Betancourt is the only one having a decent year. Betancourt, a sixth-round pick (#74), is tied for the rookie lead in vulture wins with 8, and he's also picked up 6 holds, despite blowing 5 saves. His other numbers (3.91 ERA, 12.9 R/9, .314 IR%) are nothing special, but they're a lot more impressive than the work turned in by teammates Scott Linebrink (6.46 ERA, 17.4 R/9 in 93.1 IP) and Javier Lopez (6.16 ERA, 16.4 R/9 in 64.1 IP)... Vancouver's Julio Mateo (8-3, 1 save, 3 holds) somehow has a 3.27 ERA despite allowing an astonishing 23 HRs in 56 G (1.9 HR/9), by far the most of any rookie reliever... Honolulu's Erasmo Ramirez (4.78 ERA, 12.1 R/9 in 69.2 IP) and Harrison's Mike Gallo (5.52 ERA, 15.4 R/9 in 31.0 IP), both lefties, aren't going to factor into the voting... Aquilino Lopez got off to an awful start in Vancouver (6.39 ERA, 17.1 R/9, .600 IR%) and was released. He recently resurfaced with Hoboken, where he was of some use in his only appearance so far (3.1 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 1 BB, 3 K).

Phil Plantier, one of the top prospects of the last decade, was picked by baseball guru Bill James in 1991 as the player most likely to lead the majors in HRs during the 1990s. In 1994, at age 24, he hit 47 round-trippers with 118 RBIs for the Charleston Chiefs, his first and last DMBL season. He's currently an analyst for Fox Sports Net. Click Here for past articles.